A Pipeline Runs Through It |
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Chances
are that for all the angst about rising gasoline prices, you spend more on
your cell phone service than you do on gasoline. In adjusted dollars, gas
is as cheap as it's ever been. That's the problem, because cheap gas has
shaped our lives in unforeseen and negative ways. We drive too far to work
or just to get to the store. We live in subdivisions that are mazes so
that nothing is within walking distance. Everything is widely scattered
where car culture reigns. We
spend far more time idling in traffic than we spend talking to each other.
We scrape woods away and destroy farmland to put up cardboard houses in
far-flung suburbs, because that's the thing to do. When we're not at work
or driving to and from there, we plant ourselves in front of the TV,
rising only to mow the lawn or drive to the mall. We're fat, stressed, and
lonely for the families, friends, and real homes we watched disappear in
our rear view mirror as we drove away for good.
Our kids are fat too, and they have asthma on top of that from pollution.
We owe all this to the cheap gas that gave us mobility and expanded
the distance between where we work and where we sleep at night. Gas
will cost more in times to come. Production has nearly or actually peaked,
and our economic rival, China, is increasing its demand for the finite
amount of oil produced by about thirty percent each year. Even at that,
when the price peaks it may still cost less than the sum of your water and phone bills together. However, costs of delivered goods
will rise because everything is shipped by truck. We'll be paying the same
for less in the future.
Perhaps
the biggest cost of gas is the hidden political price, which has been
steep for some time. Take our corrosive relationship with our "bestest
friends in the whole wide world", the ones we feel obliged to
literally hold hands with, the Saudis. They have funded extremists for
decades to buy them off. These are the very extremists who produced
the 9/11 attackers. It's no accident the hijackers were
nearly all citizens of Saudi Arabia because Saudi Royals have allowed extremists
to run the show outside their palace walls in exchange for a free hand to
play the oil game with the western world. The Saudi Royals can't be blamed exclusively. The fact is that we turned a blind eye to this protection racket for a very long time because the setup worked well for us too. The oil flowed our way while our friends got steadily richer. The fact is, it's better in a way to have a repressive regime in an oil producing country because that insures stability and continuity of supply. For all
the current high-sounding rhetoric about wanting to spread democracy, we
are still tempted to endorse the model of a dictatorship in our oil
suppliers' countries. A case in point is Venezuela, where we would love to
install a strongman in place of democratically elected Chavez. We can't
predict what he's going to do next that might affect the flow of oil from
his country. See how it works? We
went from tolerating the Saudi's funding of extremists to encouraging them
to do so during the Soviet-Afghan conflict. Osama bin Laden was our boy
there. And why, prey tell, were we so interested in Afghanistan at the
time? For the same reasons the Soviets were: US and British oil companies
planned to run an oil pipeline through it. Meanwhile,
Rumsfeld had been smiling and shaking hands with Saddam Hussein. We put
his party in power a few years before, hoping for the same friendly oil
relationship there that we had with the Saudis. Saddam was a cool pal also
because he was willing to thump our enemy, Iran. We had a big falling out
with them when their students took over our embassy and held American
hostages until Reagan was elected. The reason we were in Dutch with Iran
was the CIA had earlier destabilized a democratically elected
government there in order to install the Shah. Why did we do that? Same
old story, oil. Well,
our boy Saddam got uppity at some point, and invaded Kuwait for its oil.
Supposedly, he asked for and received our permission first, but who knows
the real story? Anyway, we were obliged to protect the sovereignty (i.e.,
the oil) of family-owned Kuwait and the Gulf War ensued. The rest is
history, almost. We got the Saudis to pay for that war, and US companies even made a little extra on the deal. Quite a little. This surely pissed off the extremists, but not as much as our leaving behind US troops stationed too close to Mecca for their sensibilities. Why did we do that? Any number of reasons, but probably Papa Bush intended to leave the door open for a future assault on Iraq. He hoped that sanctions would bring down Saddam, but perhaps he was hedging his bets by leaving the army close to Iraq's border. Anyway,
the rest is history: attack on USS Cole; our paying the Taliban 23 million
dollars for "poppy eradication" in May of 2001; 9/11; Osama;
Afghanistan; Saddam; WMD claims; Iraq War; Pakistan, a virtual farm system
for grooming terrorists; spreading democracy; Afghanistan, again. Unfortunately,
the worst may be yet to come, and it goes far beyond Iraqi insurgents and
the revitalization of the Taliban. China is paying new attention to
governments that are problematic for us in places with oil. Alarmingly,
the Chinese government is presently trying to buy an American
international oil company, UnoCal, whose forte is doing oil business in
dicey places. We are about to block that, but we have to be careful. China
is vying for 'our' oil, but each year China owns more of our debt, so we
need to be nice to them. If we choose to be too antagonistic and deny them
legitimate access to oil, they may become so frustrated that they dump
their US dollars and/or turn to use of their military against Taiwan. The
result could be apocalyptic. What
to do? Why, buy a Hummer and move to a bigger house farther out in the 'burbs,
of course! There you can sit in front of your Chinese-made big screen TV
and wait for Armageddon. With luck you won't be stuck in a traffic jam
when the moment arrives. |